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Including 12 closely related terms such as emissions, emissions reduction, and emission reduction.

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Greater Manchester Combined Authority

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… together. The threat of climate change – reducing our carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions Mitigating climate change is the most significant of our environmental challenges. We need to make our fair contribution to global commitments aimed at limiting global temperature rise. Research was carried out in 2018 by the Tyndall Centre for Climate Research3 to calculate what a fair contribution…

… • Challenge 4: Natural environment • Challenge 5: Resilience and adaptation to the impacts of climate change 2http://www.gmhsc.org.uk/wp-content/uploads/2018/04/GM-Population-Health-Plan-Full-Plan.pdf 3https://www.research.manchester.ac.uk/portal/files/83000155/Tyndall_Quantifying_Paris_for_Manchester_Report_FINAL_PUBLISHED_rev1.pdf 4 | EXECUTIVE SUMMARY Models of potential emission reduction

… pathways Greater Manchester Combined Authority (GMCA) commissioned research to understand potential carbon reduction pathways to implement these recommendations using a model called SCATTER (Setting City Area Targets and Trajectories for Emissions Reductions)3 . This provides different pathways depending on local decisions taken across over 40 different interventions, which can each…

… to reduce our current annual emissions by more than half to put ourselves on the “SCATTER Level 4” pathway. • We would need to reduce our current annual emissions by more than two thirds to meet the Tyndall Centre’s recommended budget. Figure 2 – Potential Carbon Budgets for Greater Manchester; Source: Anthesis - 10.00 20.00 30.00 40.00 50.00 2018-2022 2023-2027 M tC O 2 pe…

… r 5 y ea rs Current and next UK Carbon Budget periods SCATTER GM SCATTER L4 Tyndall Half of current annual emissions 6 | EXECUTIVE SUMMARY Using the models to inform our plans Models have their limitations. The principle value of the models to us is: • Informing the scale of the challenge we face – reductions on this scale will be extremely challenging to achieve…

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